The Age Pattern of Increases in Mortality Affected by HIV: Bayesian Fit of the Heligman-Pollard Model to Data from the Agincourt HDSS Field Site in Rural Northeast South Africa.
Identifieur interne : 000556 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 000555; suivant : 000557The Age Pattern of Increases in Mortality Affected by HIV: Bayesian Fit of the Heligman-Pollard Model to Data from the Agincourt HDSS Field Site in Rural Northeast South Africa.
Auteurs : David J. Sharrow [Royaume-Uni] ; Samuel J. Clark [Royaume-Uni] ; Mark A. Collinson [Royaume-Uni] ; Kathleen Kahn [Royaume-Uni] ; Stephen M. Tollman [Royaume-Uni]Source :
- Demographic research [ 1435-9871 ] ; 2013.
Abstract
We investigate the sex-age-specific changes in the mortality of a prospectively monitored rural population in South Africa. We quantify changes in the age pattern of mortality in a parsimonious way by estimating the eight parameters of the Heligman-Pollard (HP) model of age-specific mortality. In its traditional form this model is difficult to fit and does not account for uncertainty.
DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2013.29.39
PubMed: 24453696
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Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman), INDEPTH Network, Accra, Ghana (Samuel J. Clark, Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman) and ALPHA Network, London, UK (Samuel J. Clark).</nlm:affiliation><country>Royaume-Uni</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Sociology, University of Washington (David J. Sharrow & Samuel J. Clark); Institute of Behavioral Science (IBS), University of Colorado at Boulder, CO, USA (Samuel J. Clark); MRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa (Samuel J. Clark, Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman), Centre for Global Health Research, Epidemiology and Global Health, Umeå University, Sweden (Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman), INDEPTH Network, Accra, Ghana (Samuel J. Clark, Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman) and ALPHA Network, London</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Londres</settlement><region type="country">Angleterre</region><region type="région" nuts="1">Grand Londres</region></placeName><orgName type="university">Université de Washington</orgName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Clark, Samuel J" sort="Clark, Samuel J" uniqKey="Clark S" first="Samuel J" last="Clark">Samuel J. Clark</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Sociology, University of Washington (David J. Sharrow & Samuel J. Clark); Institute of Behavioral Science (IBS), University of Colorado at Boulder, CO, USA (Samuel J. Clark); MRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa (Samuel J. Clark, Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman), Centre for Global Health Research, Epidemiology and Global Health, Umeå University, Sweden (Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman), INDEPTH Network, Accra, Ghana (Samuel J. Clark, Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman) and ALPHA Network, London, UK (Samuel J. Clark).</nlm:affiliation><country>Royaume-Uni</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Sociology, University of Washington (David J. Sharrow & Samuel J. Clark); Institute of Behavioral Science (IBS), University of Colorado at Boulder, CO, USA (Samuel J. Clark); MRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa (Samuel J. Clark, Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman), Centre for Global Health Research, Epidemiology and Global Health, Umeå University, Sweden (Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman), INDEPTH Network, Accra, Ghana (Samuel J. Clark, Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman) and ALPHA Network, London</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Londres</settlement><region type="country">Angleterre</region><region type="région" nuts="1">Grand Londres</region></placeName><orgName type="university">Université de Washington</orgName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Collinson, Mark A" sort="Collinson, Mark A" uniqKey="Collinson M" first="Mark A" last="Collinson">Mark A. Collinson</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Sociology, University of Washington (David J. Sharrow & Samuel J. Clark); Institute of Behavioral Science (IBS), University of Colorado at Boulder, CO, USA (Samuel J. Clark); MRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa (Samuel J. Clark, Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman), Centre for Global Health Research, Epidemiology and Global Health, Umeå University, Sweden (Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman), INDEPTH Network, Accra, Ghana (Samuel J. Clark, Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman) and ALPHA Network, London, UK (Samuel J. Clark).</nlm:affiliation><country>Royaume-Uni</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Sociology, University of Washington (David J. Sharrow & Samuel J. Clark); Institute of Behavioral Science (IBS), University of Colorado at Boulder, CO, USA (Samuel J. Clark); MRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa (Samuel J. Clark, Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman), Centre for Global Health Research, Epidemiology and Global Health, Umeå University, Sweden (Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman), INDEPTH Network, Accra, Ghana (Samuel J. Clark, Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman) and ALPHA Network, London</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Londres</settlement><region type="country">Angleterre</region><region type="région" nuts="1">Grand Londres</region></placeName><orgName type="university">Université de Washington</orgName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Kahn, Kathleen" sort="Kahn, Kathleen" uniqKey="Kahn K" first="Kathleen" last="Kahn">Kathleen Kahn</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Sociology, University of Washington (David J. Sharrow & Samuel J. Clark); Institute of Behavioral Science (IBS), University of Colorado at Boulder, CO, USA (Samuel J. Clark); MRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa (Samuel J. Clark, Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman), Centre for Global Health Research, Epidemiology and Global Health, Umeå University, Sweden (Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman), INDEPTH Network, Accra, Ghana (Samuel J. Clark, Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman) and ALPHA Network, London, UK (Samuel J. Clark).</nlm:affiliation><country>Royaume-Uni</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Sociology, University of Washington (David J. Sharrow & Samuel J. Clark); Institute of Behavioral Science (IBS), University of Colorado at Boulder, CO, USA (Samuel J. Clark); MRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa (Samuel J. Clark, Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman), Centre for Global Health Research, Epidemiology and Global Health, Umeå University, Sweden (Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman), INDEPTH Network, Accra, Ghana (Samuel J. 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Tollman), Centre for Global Health Research, Epidemiology and Global Health, Umeå University, Sweden (Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman), INDEPTH Network, Accra, Ghana (Samuel J. Clark, Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman) and ALPHA Network, London, UK (Samuel J. Clark).</nlm:affiliation><country>Royaume-Uni</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Sociology, University of Washington (David J. Sharrow & Samuel J. Clark); Institute of Behavioral Science (IBS), University of Colorado at Boulder, CO, USA (Samuel J. Clark); MRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa (Samuel J. Clark, Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman), Centre for Global Health Research, Epidemiology and Global Health, Umeå University, Sweden (Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman), INDEPTH Network, Accra, Ghana (Samuel J. Clark, Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. 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Sharrow</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Sociology, University of Washington (David J. Sharrow & Samuel J. Clark); Institute of Behavioral Science (IBS), University of Colorado at Boulder, CO, USA (Samuel J. Clark); MRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa (Samuel J. Clark, Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman), Centre for Global Health Research, Epidemiology and Global Health, Umeå University, Sweden (Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman), INDEPTH Network, Accra, Ghana (Samuel J. Clark, Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman) and ALPHA Network, London, UK (Samuel J. Clark).</nlm:affiliation><country>Royaume-Uni</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Sociology, University of Washington (David J. Sharrow & Samuel J. Clark); Institute of Behavioral Science (IBS), University of Colorado at Boulder, CO, USA (Samuel J. Clark); MRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa (Samuel J. Clark, Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman), Centre for Global Health Research, Epidemiology and Global Health, Umeå University, Sweden (Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman), INDEPTH Network, Accra, Ghana (Samuel J. Clark, Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. 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Tollman), Centre for Global Health Research, Epidemiology and Global Health, Umeå University, Sweden (Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman), INDEPTH Network, Accra, Ghana (Samuel J. Clark, Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman) and ALPHA Network, London, UK (Samuel J. Clark).</nlm:affiliation><country>Royaume-Uni</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Sociology, University of Washington (David J. Sharrow & Samuel J. Clark); Institute of Behavioral Science (IBS), University of Colorado at Boulder, CO, USA (Samuel J. Clark); MRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa (Samuel J. Clark, Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman), Centre for Global Health Research, Epidemiology and Global Health, Umeå University, Sweden (Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman), INDEPTH Network, Accra, Ghana (Samuel J. Clark, Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman) and ALPHA Network, London</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Londres</settlement><region type="country">Angleterre</region><region type="région" nuts="1">Grand Londres</region></placeName><orgName type="university">Université de Washington</orgName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Collinson, Mark A" sort="Collinson, Mark A" uniqKey="Collinson M" first="Mark A" last="Collinson">Mark A. Collinson</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Sociology, University of Washington (David J. Sharrow & Samuel J. Clark); Institute of Behavioral Science (IBS), University of Colorado at Boulder, CO, USA (Samuel J. Clark); MRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa (Samuel J. Clark, Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman), Centre for Global Health Research, Epidemiology and Global Health, Umeå University, Sweden (Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman), INDEPTH Network, Accra, Ghana (Samuel J. Clark, Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman) and ALPHA Network, London, UK (Samuel J. Clark).</nlm:affiliation><country>Royaume-Uni</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Sociology, University of Washington (David J. Sharrow & Samuel J. Clark); Institute of Behavioral Science (IBS), University of Colorado at Boulder, CO, USA (Samuel J. Clark); MRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa (Samuel J. Clark, Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman), Centre for Global Health Research, Epidemiology and Global Health, Umeå University, Sweden (Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman), INDEPTH Network, Accra, Ghana (Samuel J. Clark, Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman) and ALPHA Network, London</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Londres</settlement><region type="country">Angleterre</region><region type="région" nuts="1">Grand Londres</region></placeName><orgName type="university">Université de Washington</orgName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Kahn, Kathleen" sort="Kahn, Kathleen" uniqKey="Kahn K" first="Kathleen" last="Kahn">Kathleen Kahn</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Sociology, University of Washington (David J. Sharrow & Samuel J. Clark); Institute of Behavioral Science (IBS), University of Colorado at Boulder, CO, USA (Samuel J. Clark); MRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa (Samuel J. Clark, Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman), Centre for Global Health Research, Epidemiology and Global Health, Umeå University, Sweden (Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman), INDEPTH Network, Accra, Ghana (Samuel J. Clark, Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman) and ALPHA Network, London, UK (Samuel J. Clark).</nlm:affiliation><country>Royaume-Uni</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Sociology, University of Washington (David J. Sharrow & Samuel J. Clark); Institute of Behavioral Science (IBS), University of Colorado at Boulder, CO, USA (Samuel J. Clark); MRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa (Samuel J. Clark, Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman), Centre for Global Health Research, Epidemiology and Global Health, Umeå University, Sweden (Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman), INDEPTH Network, Accra, Ghana (Samuel J. Clark, Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman) and ALPHA Network, London</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Londres</settlement><region type="country">Angleterre</region><region type="région" nuts="1">Grand Londres</region></placeName><orgName type="university">Université de Washington</orgName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Tollman, Stephen M" sort="Tollman, Stephen M" uniqKey="Tollman S" first="Stephen M" last="Tollman">Stephen M. Tollman</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Sociology, University of Washington (David J. Sharrow & Samuel J. Clark); Institute of Behavioral Science (IBS), University of Colorado at Boulder, CO, USA (Samuel J. Clark); MRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa (Samuel J. Clark, Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman), Centre for Global Health Research, Epidemiology and Global Health, Umeå University, Sweden (Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman), INDEPTH Network, Accra, Ghana (Samuel J. Clark, Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman) and ALPHA Network, London, UK (Samuel J. Clark).</nlm:affiliation><country>Royaume-Uni</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Sociology, University of Washington (David J. Sharrow & Samuel J. Clark); Institute of Behavioral Science (IBS), University of Colorado at Boulder, CO, USA (Samuel J. Clark); MRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa (Samuel J. Clark, Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman), Centre for Global Health Research, Epidemiology and Global Health, Umeå University, Sweden (Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman), INDEPTH Network, Accra, Ghana (Samuel J. Clark, Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn and Stephen M. Tollman) and ALPHA Network, London</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Londres</settlement><region type="country">Angleterre</region><region type="région" nuts="1">Grand Londres</region></placeName><orgName type="university">Université de Washington</orgName></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j">Demographic research</title><idno type="ISSN">1435-9871</idno><imprint><date when="2013" type="published">2013</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">We investigate the sex-age-specific changes in the mortality of a prospectively monitored rural population in South Africa. We quantify changes in the age pattern of mortality in a parsimonious way by estimating the eight parameters of the Heligman-Pollard (HP) model of age-specific mortality. In its traditional form this model is difficult to fit and does not account for uncertainty.</div></front></TEI><affiliations><list><country><li>Royaume-Uni</li></country><region><li>Angleterre</li><li>Grand Londres</li></region><settlement><li>Londres</li></settlement><orgName><li>Université de Washington</li></orgName></list><tree><country name="Royaume-Uni"><region name="Angleterre"><name sortKey="Sharrow, David J" sort="Sharrow, David J" uniqKey="Sharrow D" first="David J" last="Sharrow">David J. Sharrow</name></region><name sortKey="Clark, Samuel J" sort="Clark, Samuel J" uniqKey="Clark S" first="Samuel J" last="Clark">Samuel J. Clark</name><name sortKey="Collinson, Mark A" sort="Collinson, Mark A" uniqKey="Collinson M" first="Mark A" last="Collinson">Mark A. Collinson</name><name sortKey="Kahn, Kathleen" sort="Kahn, Kathleen" uniqKey="Kahn K" first="Kathleen" last="Kahn">Kathleen Kahn</name><name sortKey="Tollman, Stephen M" sort="Tollman, Stephen M" uniqKey="Tollman S" first="Stephen M" last="Tollman">Stephen M. Tollman</name></country></tree></affiliations></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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